Indo-Pak War. Claims US Reports.

 Well this report is published by "Global Trends" and their track record is flawless. The assessment is produced every four year by the US government's "National Intelligence Council", released in Washington. For instance - A similar report was released by the Obama administration in 2017 had warned of a pandemic and a vast economic disruption as its fallout. So we can surely believe what this report has to say. Now it's up to you to believe it or not. Here is the link of South Asia report. 

https://www.dni.gov/index.php/gt2040-5-year-regional-outlooks/s-asia

India and Pakistan may stumble into a large-scale war neither side wants, especially following a terrorist attack that the Indian Government judges to be significant.  The ability of Pakistan-based terrorists to conduct attacks, New Delhi’s resolve to punish Islamabad after such an attack, and Islamabad’s determination to defend itself are likely to persist and may increase.  Miscalculation by both governments could prompt a breakdown in the deterrence that has restricted conflict to levels each side judges it can manage.  A full-scale war could inflict damage that would have economic and political consequences for years says this report.

Details.

The US policy in Afghanistan and its impact on the neighbouring countries is a top on a list of key uncertainties in South Asia that are underlined in the report.

"US actions in Afghanistan during the next year will have significant consequences across the region, particularly in Pakistan and India", the report states.

Water Scarcity.

The US intelligence community warns that water insecurity in the region is also an increasing risk. The assessment includes forecast by the UNDP that Pakistan could face absolute water scarcity by 2025, given a combination of poor water conservation practices, rising temperatures, and decreased rainfall.

Now what could India and Pakistan can do to rebut this report? and How the prediction of this report is flawless? We should think about these questions. 

Thank you reading.